4G and The Mobile Web: WiMAX vs. LTE

 

The next phase in the rapid move to the mobile web is 4G.  I discussed this progression in my post to this blog Future of Wireless Devices on December 26, 2007.  What this means for us no one can say with any certainty. Right now it is safe to say that we will be getting faster downloads and much more functionality to include mobile-video sharing.  The two wireless networking standards are WiMAX and Long Term Evolution.


Wikipedia defines WiMAX as follows:


WiMAX, the Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access, is a telecommunications technology that provides wireless data in a variety of ways, from point-to-point links to full mobile cellular type access. It is based on the IEEE 802.16 standard, which is also called WirelessMAN. The name "WiMAX" was created by the WiMAX Forum, which was formed in June 2001 to promote conformance and interoperability of the standard. The forum describes WiMAX as "a standards-based technology enabling the delivery of last mile wireless broadband access as an alternative to cable and DSL" (and also to High Speed Packet Access). Currently, Pakistan has the largest fully functional Wimax network in the world.



Wikipedia defines Long Term Evolution (“LTE”) as follows:


3GPP LTE (Long Term Evolution) is the name given to a project within the Third Generation Partnership Project to improve the UMTS mobile phone standard to cope with future technology evolutions. Goals include improving spectral efficiency, lowering costs, improving services, making use of new spectrum and refarmed spectrum opportunities, and better integration with other open standards. The LTE project is not a standard, but it will result in the new evolved Release 8 of the 3GPP specifications, including mostly or wholly extensions and modifications of the UMTS system. The architecture that will result from this work is called EPS (Evolved Packet System) and comprises E-UTRAN (Evolved UTRAN) on the access side and EPC (Evolved Packet Core) on the core side.


Judy Mottl has an excellent analysis in her InternetNews.com article entitled Who’s ahead in the 4G race?   At present it would seem as though the winner in the race could be WiMAX.  They have deployments up and running, however there is a surge in the acceptance of the LTE networking standards by the likes of AT&T, Verizon Wireless, and Nortel.  Sprint-Nextel is backing WiMAX.  Mottl has done her homework and I highly recommend her article.  She concludes with a look to the acceptance of 4G by enterprises and quotes Carmi Levy, senior VP, strategic consulting for AR Communication:


"Enterprises need to be watching and be aware of what's coming though it's not really in the line of vision at this point," Levy said, adding that vendors will be focused on providing what's most important to business -- solid voice and data networking performance at lower price points.


"In three to four years we'll know what will be. At this point it's about watching the landscape develop and adapting, if necessary, to leverage what's coming," Levy said.

Focus on Business Service Management: BMC Buys ITM

 


BMC’s purchase of ITM is only the latest in its string of acquisitions calculated to make it a formidable player in the ERP market. This four year march included the following acquisitions:


RealOps which automates IT processing: see BMC Buys Into IT Process Automation

Calendra an identity management specialist: see BMC Grabs ID Management Vendor

BladeLogic a player in the field of change management: see BMC to Buy BladeLogic For Nearly $800M


ITM’s software integrates the segregated silos of the IT management of the past to provide “visibility, coordination and control” for the CIO. This translates into a more efficient decision making process. BMC’s vice president, Herb Van Hook, described ITM as


a set of very high-level applications IT uses to run itself as a business organization within the enterprise


and the software


asks whether you're doing the right projects; what is the business impact of this project versus that project


See Richard Adhikari’s excellent article in InternetNews.com BMC Completes ITM Acquisition: Software company moves toward a business-oriented view of IT. In it he details the ITM acquisition and discusses the competition in the IT Resource Planning (“ITRP”) space. Adhikari reports that BMC’s acquisition strategy is aimed at partners and so there is “very little overlap” which translates into less integration in its software suite. It remains to be seen if BMC can rollout this new product into its customer base.

Software Vendors Find Another Advantage to SaaS

 

Daniel Druker posted an interesting article in his blog SaaS 2.0 entitled Sage Advice. In it he explores an interesting twist to the value of SaaS to the Channel Partner. SaaS is not only the wave of the future, but it also fits quite nicely into one’s retirement planning.


Druker points out that the Value Added Reseller (“VAR”) has a business model that emphasizes upfront revenue. They sell the software and can also look to implementation as another source of revenue, but by and large there is no steady stream of cash that hits the P&L. The value of the Channel Partner’s business is dependent on finding new customers and selling year after year.


The missing element to the cash flow problem is what the SaaS business model can provide, Contracted Monthly Recurring Revenue (“CMRR”). See my post in this blog March 2nd entitled Best Practices for the SaaS CEO – Top Ten Rules. Byron Deeter’s first rule is that “Cash is King”.


In Daniel Druker’s article he recounts a discussion he had with an established Channel Partner thinking about retirement and the selling of his business. Adopting the SaaS model seems to provide the answers this VAR owner needs. As Druker points out:


• the valuation of any business is driven by future cash flows
• shifting to SaaS will mean a much higher valuation and selling price


Albeit not entirely altruistic, yet another reason to adopt the SaaS approach.


Augmentation of Recent Posts

 

In my reading of interesting and relevant articles posted on the web, there have been several follow-on articles which expand on some of my more recent posts to this Blog. Due to the number of articles that I have come across, I thought it best to cite to some these articles, with a line or two of brief explanation, and let the reader pick and chose any article(s) of interest. I found the following to be of particular interest:

Growing Pains of On Demand

 

There is a revolution of sorts going on in the computing world. I do not want to over-dramatize this fact; however I am reminded of author and pamphleteer Thomas Pain who wrote:


• “Lead, follow, or get out of the way”
• “These are the times that try men’s souls”
• “The harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph”
(yes, this is drama)


Why all the drama? Well, I recommend you read Tien Tzuo’s article entitled The Global Transformation to On-Demand. Tzuo’s subtitle may aid in understanding my reference to the drama (i.e. “Why the world is moving to subscriptions and what it means for businesses”). This article should be read in conjunction with Daniel Druker’s article Different is hard: SAP - (Not Too Much) Business by Design.


Let’s start with Tzuo’s rather succinct history of the change in the paradigm from on-premises computing to subscription buying via the internet. Tzuo was on the cusp of the wave that brought in the SaaS business model. The guiding ideology for Tzuo and his contemporaries regarding SaaS is that


“ … software belonged on the Internet, not on a CD, and in that process it is transformed from a product that you buy to a service that you subscribe to.”


Tzuo’s analysis of why the trend towards subscriptions (i.e. On Demand or SaaS) rather than the traditional purchase or licensing model covers a broader spectrum than just the software industry. He explains that the internet has transformed the way people buy. The purchaser now has more options from more packages and as their needs change so can their subscription. Buyer’s remorse is eliminated.


“no large up front investment, no ongoing maintenance costs or hassles, no insurance costs – just pay for how much you use.”


Tzuo points out that there are significant differences between the processes for managing a subscription business versus the traditional product for sale business. These differences are:


• The ability to offer your product in parts, as well as full packages
• Invoicing and payment terms must be able to track the flexibility in the product offerings
• There are constant changes in the subscription and the revenue collection process becomes convoluted
• The metrics for this type of business differ from the usual billing metrics and so the ability to measure success and redirect efforts must adapt


The difficulties in managing a subscription business can be demonstrated by reference to the current situation at SAP and its announced delays and reduction in investment in its hoped for SaaS offering, Business by Design. Daniel Druker presents an in-depth analysis to the possible problems facing SAP. He lays out the trials and tribulations that a mega-corporation must face when trying to adapt to the changes in the industry. Instead of the purported technical issues facing this new service such as the “Mega-tenancy” model that a company the size of SAP is trying to implement, Druker sees the problem as the age-old issue of resistance to change. He labels this the “innovators dilemma”. The best and the brightest personnel shun the new innovation, especially if the promise of returns is far removed from the fundamental business model. It almost seems as though the company sets up its own barriers. A matrix organization, such as SAP, organized by country or region, is more inclined to focus on hitting their sales goals for the quarter or month and less likely to assist in the latest project.


In addition to the innovators dilemma, Druker also includes a discussion much like Tzuo’s differences between a subscription run business and that of the traditional product driven business model. Simply put, the business processes needed to run a subscription business do not yet exist, and when these new business processes do come on line, they will be incompatible with the existing business processes for a large enterprise software company.


Druker concludes by stating that, “SAP is an amazing, well run company”. It remains to be seen how well they will manage this latest innovation in the computing world.