Cloud Predictions for 2013



James Staten, Vice President and Principal Analyst serving Infrastructure & Operations professionals for Forrester, has written an article entitled 2013 Cloud Predictions: We’ll Finally Get Real About Cloud . In his article he and his team state that Enterprise IT departments have finally accepted the realities of the Cloud. Enterprise use will continue to grow through 2013 as Enterprises begin budgeting for Cloud services and development of private clouds as they prepare to deploy applications in the cloud.

Staten and his team put together what they expect will happen to Cloud Computing in the coming year. Here is a very brief synopsis of their top ten predictions:

1.       Enterprises will shake the idea that all must go into the Cloud: IT professionals will get a handle on what does and what does not belong in the Cloud based on the relative stengths and weaknesses of the platforms and how they differ with traditional methods and hosting.

2.       Cloud and Mobile will become one:  Mobile applications will connect to Cloud based back-end-services and not to your datacenter. This will shield your data from the voluminous requests from mobile clients.

3.       Cloud Service Level Agreements will change: The ability to recover quickly from setbacks (i.e. resiliency) will be built into the application itself. This avoids the need to negotiate an ironclad SLA for the Cloud when such protections are only needed for specific apps.

4.       ROI from Cloud Services and Platforms requires Cost Modeling: Model the costs to the specific applications. There are Cloud-Monitoring tools available and also the vendors use cost reporting tools.

5.       Infrastructure and Operations accepts the Cloud: In-House Developers will be using the Public Cloud and Infrastructure and Operations teams will accept this fact and use it to promote better communication regarding security and oversight.

6.       Use of the Cloud for Back-up and Disaster Recovery: Cloud computing and its pay-per-use pricing model lets you pay for long-term data storage while only paying for servers when testing or declaring a disaster.

7.       Stop thinking the Cloud is a Comodity: Even though Cloud services are highly standardized they are beginning to be backed-up by different and high-end hardware. Vendors will begin to offer these choices to meet specific market demands.

8.       Amazon Web Services will begin to lose market share: Amazon’s 70% market share will begin to erode from competitors such as Microsoft, Google, and other new entrants to the market.

9.       Virtulization does not mean the Cloud: A Virtual Environment usually does not offer self-service to the developer, fully-automated provisioning, standardized services, or cost transparency. The Infrastructure and Operations teams will learn to live with both types of enviroments.

10.  Development is not different in the Cloud:  Developers will realize that the majority of languages, frameworks, and development methodologies used in the enterprise are also in use in the cloud. There are no cloud-specific or cloud-best languages



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