Gartner: 2009 IT Spending Revised Downward

Well as the first quarter ends, the staff at CIO Update report on the latest analysis from Gartner regarding the direction of global IT Spending in their article Gartner Calls for Grim Spending Contraction. I guess you can tell from the title which direction IT Spending will go. It appears that the projection for 2009 based on the 1st quarter results is a decline of 3.7% in IT Spending this year.

The current global economic recession is affecting not only software sales but also hardware sales, IT Services, and telecommunications and this deterioration in sales will surpass the 2001 IT Industry downturn. The contraction in IT Spending is global; however the US and Western Europe will be hardest hit. Global Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) is forecast to contract by 1.2% which is the largest hit to the global economy since 1982. Government stimulus packages will not have any short-term affect and IT Spending is not expected to improve until global financial markets stabilize.

The report summarizes the expected end results due to this downturn as follows:

  • "The slowdown in IT spending will reduce new market penetration and will slow replacement activity.
  • The impact of reduced new penetration will be more strongly felt in emerging markets, while the impact of reduced replacement activity will be more strongly felt in mature markets.
  • Consumers and businesses will continue switching to lower-cost products, extending the life of existing devices and extending their current contracts and purchasing agreements."

 

Business Intelligence Will Be HOT in 2009

Nobby Akiha reports in SandHill.com on Gartner’s Top Ten “HOT” technologies for 2009. Included in this top 10 list is Business Intelligence (“BI”). Akiha lists the 10 predictions for BI and how BI will surge in 2009 and they include the usual suspects, “The Recession” and “Going Green”; however, the list also gives us some insight into the other salient issues that will cause the use of BI to swell in 2009. For the complete story read Nobby Akiha’s article 10 Predictions For Business Intelligence. Here is a short-hand version of the list:

1.       More Open Source Collaboration: Blogs, online communities, and social networking will help spur the development and use of BI tools.

2.       Rich Internet Applications (“RIA”) for consumers influence the Enterprise:  Workers start to demand the same web applications used at home for the workplace.

3.       The Cycle Goes from Applications – to – Users – to - Better Applications:  It becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

4.       A Recession Fighter: BI provides the competitive advantage to analyze costs, margins, and channels to better gauge profitability.

5.       Green: BI assists in the allocation of resources. Plus, ‘going green’ fits with consumer sentiment and conserving resources conserves cash.

6.       Regulations are coming: In light of the financial melt-down on Wall Street, it is a foregone conclusion that the Feds will be writing more regulations and these regs will most assuredly require companies to retain and disclose data. BI will help with the data management.

7.       Globalization Increases Competition: BI makes it possible for business decisions to be more informed and in real time.

8.       Wider Access to the Analysis: Decision makers are enterprise wide and as BI gains wider adoption these decisions makers will have access to the informed analysis.

9.       Flexible Reporting: Siloed data isn’t much help to the enterprise at large. BI makes it possible for data to be scalable and viewable in various formats.

10.   More Open Source Deployments: These solutions will be customizable for business decisions.

 

How Tech Companies Can Survive This Recession

 

The business environment for 2009 looks bleak.  Financing came to a screeching halt in the late summer of 2008 and capital markets are still reticent on extending credit.  What is an enterprise to do?  As Bryan Stolle, partner with Mohr Davidow, points out in his article How to Survive - and Thrive, the key is first to survive by assessing the environment, creating a plan, and executing.  Once the economic recovery begins, your company must have differentiated itself from the other companies in its market-space.   

Stolle presents a list of 10 tips for the tech CEO of today.  As he states, some are obvious.  I will try to summarize his action plan below, but for the full impact I strongly suggest you read his article:

1.       Question every expenditure:  If it does not fit into the “Must Have” category, then it should be cut.  Does the spend positively affect the bottom line?  Examine R&D with an emphasis on return on investment and its ability to differentiate your products from your competitors.

 

2.       Everyone is a salesman:  All employees must focus on acquiring new customers and maintaining the current customer base.  All top executives, CEO included, need to be in the field or on the phones.

 

3.       Mirror your customer’s mantra – cut costs:  Your sales pitch must state how much your solution will “CUT COSTS”.  Your customers won’t be listening to anything else.

 

4.       Increase your marketing efforts:  The more spent in this area will help your customers to focus their spend prioritizing on your application, the sales process is enhanced, and competitors will be forced to compete or leave the market.

 

5.       Refocus your distribution strategy:  The search for new channel partners and resellers is a drain on cash.  Funnel your cash into the proven channels and leave the marginal producers for later.

 

6.       Cut headcount – but do it fairly:  In my career I have seen enough of the “Trim the Fat” executives as it relates to personnel and I know the devastating affects it has on the individual, on his/her family, and on company morale.  Stolle also recognizes the need to maintain and “nurture the esprit de corps - not kill it” and advises to give full consideration to the corporate culture.

 

7.       A good time to hire:  As a counter-balance to point 6 above, this may be the time to upgrade your team.  Top-performers in other companies may be getting a bit nervous with their current position in light of the current economic climate.  If offered the right package, these top performers would be happy to join your team.

 

8.       Reexamine the operation and consider a new approach:  Take this opportunity to rethink how the company works.  Perhaps an outside observer can suggest a new approach and re-energize the operation.

 

9.       We are a global economy: Since the internet and global supply chains and global service providers allow us to sell our products and services anywhere in the world, then take advantage of this fact.  Stolle suggest that you find a market that is healthier than the US and Europe and determine if you can sell at or below our current market costs.  If so, then do so.

 

10.   Reject the urge to merge:  In the current economy, the chances are both companies will fail.  Two struggling companies seldom create one strong enterprise.

Stolle’s concluding remarks are right on point and I couldn’t say them better.  He concludes by saying:

“Whether all, or just some, of the above apply to you, to make it through these “interesting times”, you must a) be very sober and realistic about valuations if you must raise capital, b) treat every dollar as if it’s your last to avoid having to raise more capital, and c) lead, lead, lead!

Lead with a vision of how your company will be a winner despite the tough times; lead with a plan that will deliver on that vision and is credible and inspires trust and confidence; lead with execution from the front (as in constantly in front of customers and employees), hammering the vision, the plan for success, and the results.”

 

 

CRM Vendors to Add Value in Bid to Retain Customers in 2009

 

Richard Adhikari reports for Internetnews.com on a recent Forrester Research report addressing the strategies of CRM Vendors entitled Social Networks Among Trends in CRM for 2009.  The Forrester report discusses the difficulty in these tough economic times of obtaining funding for new CRM projects.  New customers are harder to come by and so one approach for 2009 will be to create customer loyalty in an effort to avert attrition and thereby at the very least maintain revenue for 2009.  CRM Vendors will direct their efforts on adding value to existing applications.  One way to do this is targeted offerings that will incorporate CRM into existing ERP and SCM systems.  These new solutions will utilize the existing systems to provide enhanced customer facing applications.  Forrester also sees the Salesforce.com model of incorporating Social Networking capabilities into its CRM offerings as yet another approach.

On the flip side of this equation, the enterprises will be looking for specific enhancements in their CRM applications in order to justify future projects.  As discussed in Forrester’s report, Customer Data Management seems to be the biggest area for improvement.  The enterprises will also be exploring SOA and SaaS licensing models as alternative means of obtaining value and keeping costs down.

 

 

SaaS Predictions for 2009: How to Market SaaS in the Current Economic Downturn

 

The SaaS story remains the same, but now the approach must shift.  SaaS is cheaper to implement and the enterprise can avoid the upfront capital expenditures for hardware.  Since it is a service, the pricing is based on per seat use and so there is no initial cash outlay for the software suite.  You pay for what you use.  In this current economic crisis enterprises are ripe for a way to lower costs and so the approach the SaaS vendor should take needs to adjust to the times and the SaaS vendor must highlight the advantages in their marketing approach.  Demian Entrekin, founder and Chief Technology Officer of Innotas, has written an Op Ed piece for SandHill entitled 10 Predictions for Software as a Service.  In it he cites a Gartner study that predicts the $6.4 billion in SaaS sales for 2008 will grow to over $14.8 billion by 2012.  In his article Entrekin discusses the 10 key trends that the SaaS vendor should consider in order to expand their market share by encouraging acceptance of their application.  I will provide a brief synopsis of these trends below, but I strongly suggest his article to my readers for the full story.

10 Key Trends to Growth and Acceptance:

1.     Sell the product features:  Abandon the traditional approach of selling the whole product and emphasis the individual product features that address the individual business processes desired.

 

2.     The application is seamless:  SaaS is not restricted to the enterprise and more directed toward user networks.  This should lead to easier adoption.

 

3.     Have an Elevator Speech:  Just when marketing yourself for a job, one needs to be able to sell oneself in the first few moments of the interview, Entrekin suggests the SaaS Vendor be able to demonstrate added value in the first minutes of meeting the prospect.

 

4.     A Deming Approach:  W. Edwards Deming would emphasis the ability to support a reliable, scale-able service at a low cost.”

 

5.     Emphasis Tier 1 Support:  Stress the capability of your Tier 1 Support and suggest the enterprise eschew the need for high priced consultants to answer what become high priced questions.

 

6.     Product Alliances are key to growth:  Make alliances with other SaaS vendors as a means to growing market share.

 

7.     Video rules the day:  Use video for training and support.  It is cheaper and much more interesting than the traditional text tools.

 

8.     Consider a full service Hosting Provider:  This is the point of most interest to me.  Entrekin points out that the SaaS Vendor obtains the same leverage from an outsourcer that they provide to their own customers.  This has the added benefit of leading to aggregation of applications and partnerships.

 

9.     Grid Computing:  SaaS vendors should build their applications so they are “cloud compatible”.  It remains to be seen if grid computing becomes cost efficient, but the SaaS vendor should be ready to take advantage if such is the case.

 

10.  Your approach can shift from the technology hurdles to a marketing strategy: Entrekin believes the hurdles getting the application to market are slowly but surely being overcome and now is the time to shift to a viable marketing strategy.

 

 

 

Will IT Vendors Weather the Financial Crisis?

 

Global stock markets are falling.  The price of a barrel of oil broke the $70/barrel mark on its way to $60 and maybe $50.  The $700 billion bailout (or rescue) package of Wall Street hasn’t seemed to take hold.  The Fed has opened up its discount window to all sorts of entities.  And yet amid all the financial tumult, Gartner sees IT spending for the coming year as slowing, but not stopping.

Richard Adhikari reports for Internet.News.com from the Gartner Symposium/ITxpo in Orlando, Florida in his article entitled Gartner: IT Spending Will Grow, Just Slowly.  He quotes Gartner’s global head of research, Peter Sondergaard:

"In a worst-case scenario, our research indicates an IT spending increase of 2.3 percent in 2009, down from our earlier projection of 5.8 percent"

What makes Sondergaard so sure the growth, albeit slowed, will continue into 2009?  He cites three factors:

·         There is usually a 2 quarter lag in decreases in IT spending vis-à-vis the economy.

·         The shift to a multi-year approach to IT projects makes a cut implausible.

·         Top management’s realization that IT can help transform their business.

Sondergaard sees developing countries worst hit, with Europe posting negative growth, and the US and Japan as flat for 2009.

It seems that the need for IT will be a stabilizing factor in these turbulent times.  AFCOM is an association which is related to the datacenter industry.  Their study supports Gartner’s conclusion that IT spending will hold and might even increase in 2009.  Why?  Well, if the data center goes down, the whole business might go as well.  Read the whole story Datacenter Dollars Seen as Steady Spend.  The salient points in the datacenter industry to keep in mind for 2009 are these:

·         The downturn in the economy will spur a major growth in greening efforts because they have a payoff in savings.

·         The impact of datacenter budget cuts will reduce overall efficiency of operations in the entire company. When budgets are cut, new technologies don't come into play. Firms need to expand or adopt new technologies and won't be able to.

·         The downturn may spur increases in purchases when companies realize increases in their datacenter's effectiveness affects their company's survival.

·         A company's ability to survive in this economy is more than ever before dependent on the datacenter's performance.