SAP to Buy Sybase

 

 

On May 12, 2010 Larry Barrett, writing for Datamation in his article SAP Acquires Sybase for $5.8 Billion, reported that Sybase (NYSE: SY) shares rocketed up $14.57 a share, or 35 percent, to $56.14 in the regular trading session before adding another $6.96 a share, or 13 percent, to $63.10 after the bell on news of the merger”. With its starting position sufficiently secured in the database software market against its chief competitor Oracle, it appears that SAP anticipates future gains in the out years.

SAP’s Co-CEO, Bill McDermott was quoted as saying,

“…SAP will dramatically expand its addressable market by making available its market-leading solutions to hundreds of millions of mobile users …”

SAP has broken with its time-honored approach of organic growth in its quest to overtake Oracle. Last time this happened was its $6.7 billion purchase of Business Objects at the end of 2007, (see December 21, 2007 post in this blog entitled SAP Merges with Business Objects).

Sybase will operate as a separate entity under the new name Sybase, an SAP Company. The existing product lines as well as the development units will remain as is and SAP will provide support for all.

 

A Special Note to My Readers: I have not posted an article in a while. On May 4th my mother passed away from a sudden and severe blood clot in her main artery in her thigh. I needed some time to make the proper arrangements and to collect my thoughts. I plan to restart my regular schedule shortly and provide more regular reports to you on the current developments in the software licensing industry.

 

Oracle Files Suit Against Low Cost Maintenance Provider Rimini Street

 

A short 11 months ago on March 15, 2009 I posted an article in this Blog entitled Oracle Maintenance Fees Under Attack. At the time we, as a nation, were (and arguably still are) in the worst recession since the Great Depression on the 1930’s. The installed customer base of many of the large ERP vendors, as well as, prospective customers were all searching for a way to cut costs. The larger ERP vendors, in particular Oracle, soon to be followed by SAP, had raised their annual maintenance fees to 22%. One solution highlighted in the March ’09 posting was to take advantage of the services being offered through the third party maintenance provider, Rimini Street. Claims of 70% savings on an overall maintenance bill and 50% savings on the annual maintenance expense were being made by Rimini Street’s CEO, Seth Ravin, see May 8, 2008 posting this Blog entitled SAP Sapphire 2008.

Now here’s where it gets a bit convoluted. Seth Ravin is co-founder of a company called TomorrowNow. TomorrowNow touted its ability as a third party maintenance provider and the savings it could provide to the Oracle installed base. SAP purchased TomorrowNow in January 2005 and Ravin used those profits to start Rimini Street in September of that same year. It is of particular interest and can shed some light on the attitudes and approaches of those involved in this mix if you read Richard Adhikari’s article entitled Rimini Street Adds SAP, Passes on TomorrowNow  cited in my May ’08 Blog posting. In particular pay close attention to the following subsection entitled Who needs TomorrowNow? Here is a brief snip-it:

“While Rimini Street is gearing up to add new support offerings to the mix, one way it's not planning to expand its business is through acquiring TomorrowNow.

Rimini Street had at one time been widely viewed as a likely purchaser of the firm, a provider of third-party support for Oracle applications that had been co-founded by Ravin. He ultimately sold the firm to SAP in 2005.

Rimini Street executives shrugged off their decision.

‘We don't have to buy TomorrowNow because we're getting all their customers already and there's no sense in paying for it,’ Ravin said.”

Then in 2007 Oracle sues SAP, claiming that its new business unit TomorrowNow illegally obtained Oracle copyrighted maintenance materials by using customer log-in ID’s on its password protected web-site.

This all brings us to the latest in this soap-opera which comes to us from Reuters via Internetnews.com’s article entitled Oracle Sues Rimini Street:

 

Oracle has filed a suit against a little known rival that provides low-cost software maintenance services, in a case similar to one that Oracle is fighting against rival SAP AG.

 

The lawsuit, filed in U.S. district court in Nevada on Monday, alleges that privately held Rimini Street stole copyrighted material using the online access codes of Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) customers.

 

Rimini Street Chief Executive Seth Ravin denied the allegations, saying in an interview on Thursday that his company had done nothing wrong.

 

"We are going to fight this battle," he said. "The specific allegations we are going to be answering vigorously and aggressively when the time comes in court."

 

Las Vegas-based Rimini Street sells updates and bug-fixes to Oracle's software for about half of what Oracle charges its customers. Ravin said his company booked about $150 million in business last year.

 

The charges are similar to claims that Oracle made in a high-profile lawsuit against SAP's TomorrowNow business unit.

 

That case is due to go to trial in San Francisco federal court in November.

Maintenance service contracts worth billions

 

Maintenance services are one of Oracle's core profit generators. That business generated $11.8 billion in its most recent fiscal year, or about half Oracle's total revenue.

"We are committed to enforcing our intellectual property rights against those who steal or infringe" upon them, Oracle spokeswoman Deborah Hellinger said in a statement.

Copyright 2010 Reuters. Click for restrictions.

 

For additional information and more on this saga see also Paul McDougall’s article in InformationWeek entitled Oracle Sues Rimini Street For 'Massive Theft'

 

 

What's the Right Microsoft ERP Product for Your Business?

 

As some of my readers may recall I posted an article to this Blog on October 12, 2009 entitled Microsoft Buys Core Technology to Boost Its ERP Offering. The article mainly commented on Microsoft’s most recent purchasing strategy to boost its Dynamic ERP product offerings. After reading my article, Houston Neal, Website Content Manager for Software Advice for Manufacturing contacted me and asked me to read and comment on his article entitled Microsoft Dynamics for Manufacturing – Understanding the Difference Between GP, NAV, SL and AX. Neal’s take on the current situation is that although Microsoft has tried to establish itself as a player in the ERP market space, enterprises may still be confused as to what product(s) would be suitable to which industry.

I have read Neal’s article and was quite impressed. I’m a person that likes to understand the history behind the product and/or company. Neal does a nice job of detailing the 8 year evolution of Microsoft’s foray into the ERP industry. He starts off with a sort of Gantt Chart that breaks down the different target markets for each of the Microsoft Dynamic products.  From the enterprise size, based on number of employees, it looks as though Microsoft has taken a comprehensive approach to the SME market space and taken aim on competing directly with SAP and Oracle in this space.

I particularly liked the section where Neal describes Microsoft’s initial purchases and the making of the Dynamics portfolio of products. First there was the Great Plains acquisition in 2001 which netted the Great Plains accounting application and the Solomon business management applications. Then there was the Navision purchase in 2002 which garnered not only the human resources and CRM applications, but also the Axapta product line from a recent acquisition by Navision.

So what is Microsoft to do with four different enterprise products (Great Plains, Solomon, Navision, Axapta) each written in a different language, running in different development environments, and using different databases? Neal takes us on a tour of the daunting task that Microsoft laid out for itself to convert all four products to a single code base, Project Green.

Neal includes an evolutionary chart of which Dynamic products have become the product of choice for which industry. He reminds us that over 9000 ISV’s are out there providing customization services and support for these products. He concludes his article by stating that growth in the Dynamic Product line appears evident.

 

Talent Defections at Sun: Advantage IBM

 

This sort of activity is common in mergers and acquisitions. I wish I could say that I had experienced this only once, but the sad truth is I have been on the inside and watched this happen several times. And it always is the same. Something big happens, (e.g. a merger, an acquisition, a new “C”-Level Executive) and people leave. In my last corporate counsel position a new CEO was hired just two months after I had come onboard. The General Counsel who had hired me, an intelligent attorney with a superb management style, abruptly announced his untimely retirement just three months later. His replacement lasted a short 12 months. Within a year and a half the new CEO’s friend and confidant had assumed the General Counsel position and the department I had been a part of was completely eliminated.

So is it any surprise that Sun is experiencing a bit of a brain-drain after the acquisition by Oracle? Andy Patrizio reports for InternetNews in his article Defections Batter Sun Microsystems that some key Java-based developers are reading the writing on the wall and have decided to avoid the tap on the shoulder and request to come to some non-descript conference room. Patrizio reports that so far Java’s creator, James Gosling, has not jumped ship. Josh Farina, analyst with Technology Business Research, states:

"It'd be in their best interests to make offers to get people to stay on board … Oracle is really good at making companies run better, but ultimately it needs the talent to stay because … it's in the line employees who make it happen.”

And the affect is not solely on the software side of the business. To get a preview into this slippage in Sun’s sales see the posts in this Blog Oracle’s Purchase of Sun: A Game Changer and IBM and SAP vs. Oracle and Sun: Let the Speculation Begin. Scott Handy, vice president of marketing, strategy and sales support for IBM Power Systems, reports that customers are calling IBM requesting migration assistance. Sun’s customer base looked at Oracle’s track record and see price increases in the future. Handy states,

“They are all quite concerned. When Oracle bought Siebel and PeopleSoft, they increased the maintenance licenses by 25 percent per year. With BEA, licenses went up 45 percent. So they are looking at OPEX going up just to keep what they had".

IBM is geared up and ready for these migrations. In 2003 IBM acquired a company called Sector 7, a company specializing in migrations. IBM created a program entitled Migration Factory and to date have performed over 1800 migrations. Before the Sun acquisition the ratio was about 40% of the migrations were from Sun but now that percentage is starting to increase. For the first six months of this year IBM has migrated over 170 Sun customers and another 66 Sun storage customers. 

It appears that IBM is doing what it has always done and that is using their hardware to get business in the door and then turn that into sales for long-term services and software.

 

SAP to take on SaaS - The Future is Now

 

It appears the tide is turning for the ERP giant. Initially Business ByDesign, the SAP SaaS offering, was targeted to the SMB marketplace. John Wookey, SAP’s new chief of on-demand software applications for Large Enterprises (“LE”) and former head of application development for Oracle, announced at the OnDemand Europe Conference in Amsterdam that SAP will allow online integration with core on-premise or hosted ERP platforms. This is a major switch in their strategy. SAP is determined to avoid the problems of data sharing and integration with this type of approach. Mike Simmons reports for ComputerWorld in his article SAP in SaaS U-turn:

“Wookey will initially promote the LE on-demand offering entirely at SAP's established customer base. Until now the company had been reluctant to sell SaaS products to its installed base, for fear of cannibalizing license and maintenance revenues”

Mary Hayes Weier of InformationWeek reports on her interview with John Wookey in her article SAP unveils SaaS Strategy. SAP will provide “function-specific software applications, available by subscription, that plug into customers' on-site SAP Business Suite systems, and that SAP will host for customers using a multitenant architecture”

Weier provides us with a good definition of Multitenancy and how SAP will provide it:

“Multitenancy -- in which groups of customers share the same instance of a software application, even though their data is kept separate -- helps software companies keep costs down for the hardware, software, and energy they use to host customers' applications. In turn, that allows them to offer competitive subscription prices. Wookey describes Frictionless' technology, which will be the foundation of SAP's on-demand platform, as "Java-based with a true multitenant architecture”

Development groups will bring on-demand applications to the market. SAP’s CRM already in the market, although not a multitenant architecture yet, will be a seamless upgrade soon. The other two on-demand products also in the market, e-sourcing and carbon emissions management are a result of earlier acquisitions. SAP’s acquisition of Sky Data will be able to provide a mobile component to their on-demand offerings.

 

IBM and SAP vs. Oracle and Sun: Let the Speculation Begin

 

In light of the recent mega-acquisition of Sun Microsystems by IT titan Oracle, the rumor mill has begun to turn. As a follow-on to my posting in this Blog last week dated May 11, 2009 entitled Oracle Purchase of Sun: “A Game Changer”, I have found two article’s that my readers may find of interest. Here is a brief synopsis of each:

An IBM marriage to SAP:

CNNMoney.com posted a Fortune Magazine article from their Tech Daily by senior writer Jon Fortt entitled IBM-SAP combo not in the cards – exec. In it CEO Sam Palmisano’s spokesman lays out why such an acquisition is unlikely. I cannot help my flair for the melodramatic and immediately what comes to mind is that old line from some film noir movie “Your lips say no, but your eyes says yes”. Some of the points for such a purchase are:

  • IBM’s Websphere, DB2, and Cognos provide the foundation for SAP’s business apps.
  • IBM is one of the few (Google and Microsoft notwithstanding) that could afford the $50 billion  SAP market value plus a premium.
  • Such a combination could in essence provide all the software an enterprise could need.
  • Others (e.g. Oracle / Sun) have embarked on this portfolio strategy.

IBM’s retort to the above is a recognition to tread softly as not to upset their existing partnership relations. I’m afraid I’m reminded of yet another famous line (with apologies to the Shakespearean aficionados – if I may be allowed a bit of poetic license) Methinks he doth protest too much. { The original line "The lady doth protest too much, methinks” is from Hamlet Act III Scene II. Queen Gertrude, not realizing that Hamlet has staged this play within a play to trap her and her husband whom Hamlet suspects of having murdered his father, speaks these famous words to her son, Prince Hamlet.  See answers at yahoo.com --- but I digress}

Oracle could play the old IBM trick: 

To continue on with the “speculation” theme of this posting, Rob Enderle examines  the aforementioned mega-acquisition and comes up with an interesting strategy in his article in InternetNews.com How Oracle-Sun Could Use Google to Become the New IBM. Apparently, back in the 60’s when IBM was king, IBM locked in its customer base by bundling software with the lease / purchase of its hardware. Enderle posits that Oracle stand this strategy on its head and proposes that Oracle bundle its software and services with the Sun Hardware and this time it is the hardware that is the free commodity (or close to it) and not the software as was the case for IBM in the 60’s. Enderle has an analysis on UNIX and Linux and how Java is “a bone fide platform in its own right”, but I will have to leave it to you to grasp the nuance, since I cannot. The missing element to this strategy is the desktop component. Enderle closes the loop in this strategy with an Oracle – Google alliance (if this is possible) and has Oracle emerge as the new IBM. Such an alliance seems improbable, but worth the mention.

 

 

Oracle Purchase of Sun: "A Game Changer"

 

In late April 2009 Oracle announced its $7.4 Billion purchase of Sun Microsystems. As you can imagine, this deal will have a significant impact on the IT industry, but just how much of an impact remains to be seen. Invariably acquisitions of this size and nature will be examined for any possible anti-trust issues such as anti-competitive influences on the market-place. This process by regulators will be done here and abroad and the end-result may be the necessity to sell-off some assets of the newly combined business. If you are looking for an excellent in-depth analysis of this deal I highly recommend Bruce Guptill’s article in SandHill.com The Impact of Oracle – Sun. In it Guptill sees a totally changed IT Industry with Oracle emerging as a “portfolio” company with the following abilities and offerings:

·         Hardware

·         OS

·         Middleware

·         Applications

·         Development tools

·         Databases

·         Production environments for Hosting

·         SaaS

·         On-premise subscription services; and

·         Consulting solutions (vertical and horizontal).

 

Although Sun is primarily a hardware vendor, Guptill sees this as a play for Sun’s software capability. He quotes Oracle’s CEO, Larry Ellison, “Sun's Java programming language and Solaris operating system were the main attractions for Oracle”; and specifically as regards Java, “the single most important software asset we have ever acquired.”  Guptill believes this asset alone places Oracle at the epicenter of the industry. Sun has also played a key role in open source by opening Java and Solaris to developers and this should give Oracle the ability to influence such software development especially in the following specific vertical markets: financial services, government, academia, and high-performance computing. Lest we forget the hardware business, Sun’s server and storage revenue have been estimated at an annual amount of $7 billion and $9 billion respectively. All of the Sun components, from software to hardware, should provide Oracle the foundation to build its SaaS and Cloud Computing services.

Can Oracle successfully integrate the services and hardware businesses that come with the purchase of Sun? Guptill tells us to be on the lookout for Oracle Management to sell of some of these hardware lines, or alternatively as mentioned above, regulators may force Oracle to divest itself of some of these assets.

Guptill concludes his article with a brief description of the impact such a purchase has on several stakeholders and competitors. For example:

For Sun: This probably means the demise of Sun CEO Jonathan Schwartz who had pushed for the IBM acquisition of Sun rather than Oracle. Sun Chairman, Scott McNealy, although a friend of Larry Ellison, will probably go as well since a ship needs only one captain.

For MySQL: It should fit nicely into the Oracle family as a web server database engine.

For IBM: This was a lost opportunity at more profits and the ability to rein in Oracle competition. Also Sun’s capabilities would have enhanced IBM’s Cloud Computing efforts, but now this advantage goes to Oracle.

For SAP: Guptill sees the advantage going to SAP in the interim while Oracle’s sales teams learn how to integrate Sun products into the Oracle family. I am not so sure I agree. In light of SAP’s recent sales history any advantage may be illusory. See SandHill.com Software News Summary article SAP Struggles. The title tells it all.

For Hardware Vendors: For those that have partnered with Oracle in the past the loss could be significant.

For Users: Future investments in Sun hardware may be put on hold as the install base waits for reassurances on the direction of the server and storage lines of business.

Never a dull moment.

 

Oracle Maintenance Fees Under Attack

Well, you just don’t mess with maintenance fees, or so we thought. In my career it has been my experience that a software developer, in particular, the large ERP Vendors, would be willing to grant some pretty large discounts on the licensing of their software. There would be a standard discount and this could be followed by a non-standard discount which could then be followed by a special one-time discount and so on. As long as we could think of inventive names for the next round of discounting and the business approvals kept coming, a savvy customer could get what appeared to be an incredible buy. So you might wonder how a large ERP vendor could discount the initial one-time license fee of their product 50% to 65% to 80% and above. The secret my friends (well it’s not really a secret) is that an annual maintenance fee was exacted as a percentage of the “net” license fee after the first initial standard discount. I remember when this maintenance rate was 15% and then it was raised to 17% and recently it has been raised to 22% by the big ERP vendors. It really doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that after approximately 4 ½ years the customer has paid for the software again. As long as the ERP vendor can receive their annual cash inflow from these maintenance fees on their customer installed base, these vendors will be willing to discount their license fees.

So what does a customer get for this annual maintenance fee? Since we are talking about software, any Director of IT will tell you that maintenance gives you access to the 24/7 help desk. But there’s so much more than the help desk. A customer will need access to the latest patches and fixes that are inevitable when dealing with software. Maintenance also allows the customer to receive the next version and/or release of the software. With the new higher maintenance rates of 22%, the vendors are providing more and more enhanced support in order to justify the higher fees.

However, it seems that the current economic downturn has made the untouchable somewhat vulnerable to attack. For a more in-depth report on this phenomenon read Barbara Darrow’s article in IT Channel entitled Oracle fees for maintenance and support under fire. In it she describes the sea-change in the attitude towards maintenance fees coming from the customer base. There are some reports that customers are switching their application servers just to avoid Oracle altogether. Another approach customers have been taking, but one fraught with pitfalls, is to forego maintenance completely.

“There's definitely been a significant spike in the percentage of clients pushing back on Oracle support rates or who have let support lapse," said Eliot Colon, president of Miro Consulting, a firm that specializes in license negotiations.”

As Darrow reports, one option customers are exploring is to limit their maintenance fees to only what is deployed (e.g. users, modules, functionality). But it looks as though Oracle will not capitulate and only offer an all or nothing alternative. When customers choose “nothing” they run the risk of losing out on new upgrades. Once they decide to reinstate maintenance, they’ll be hit with all back maintenance fees during the period they declined maintenance and also a reinstatement fee.

And still another option for customers is to use third party support. David Rowe, senior vice president of marketing for Rimini Street states:

“Take your existing bill for maintenance, cut it in half, and then cut it further, because we let you drop maintenance for modules you're not using, whereas vendors have some very tough policies on that.”

For further discussion on this topic see also:

 

Oracle's Financials Look Bright Ahead of "Oracle OpenWorld 2008" as the Acquisition of BEA comes to the Fore

 

It is important to note that Oracle does not have the familiar 12/31 year end, but rather a 5/31 fiscal year end.  Ahead of their conference “Oracle OpenWorld 2008” held in San Francisco this year, Oracle released a wave of glowing financial successes for its first quarter for 2009.

·         Net Income increased 28% to $1.1 Billion

·         Revenues increased 18% to $5.3 Billion

The second quarter is more in question.

·         Non-GAAP revenues could fluctuate anywhere between a 12-15% increase or drop as low as only a 9% increase due to currency fluctuations

·         Non-GAAP EPS should be around 26¢ due to earnings split between higher and lower tax jurisdictions.

The forecast for new software license revenues are also susceptible to the fluctuating currency markets with estimates at 5% - 15% without fluctuations and 2% to 12% if fluctuations are taken into account.  Kenneth Chin, and analyst for Gartner, focused on this broad range and stated:

"Foreign currency had a plus seven percent impact on earnings this quarter, and they see a minus three percent impact for the next quarter, which can be fairly significant.  There's nothing to say that, if the dollar moves more quickly and becomes stronger, that the negative impact wouldn't hit five percent or more."

Fifty percent (50%) of Oracle’s business is license revenue and maintenance fees.  The fastest growing part of their business is middleware.  Larry Ellison, Oracle CEO, is confident that they have or soon will replace IBM in this market space.  For a more complete commentary on the second quarter’s outlook and beyond see Richard Adhikari’s article Oracle Sees Tougher Days Ahead. 

With a broader portfolio of software products to bring to the market the emphasis this week at the San Francisco conference will be on the $8.5 billion purchase of BEA.  The BEA middleware products “are key to Oracle's service oriented architecture (“SOA”) strategy.

Oracle’s next major release will be 11g, expected by the end of the 2009 fiscal year.  BEA will be an integral part of its latest Web and SOA platforms release. 

Also of note is Oracle’s Green Program and its virtualization initiative.  To read the details on the tremendous increase in savings on these two programs and the Integration of the BEA software products into Oracle’s latest offerings see Oracle's Big Show will be BEA's Coming Out Party.

  

 

SAP's Business ByDesign Aimed at SMB Market

 

Richard Adhikari reports in InternetNews.com that SAP plans to move aggressively forward with its SaaS offering, Business ByDesign, and is targeting the SMB customer in his article SAP to Innovate Heavily in SMB On-Demand Suite - updated - Business intelligence to pervade enterprise software giant's forthcoming products.  It appears from some of the comments quoted from the SAP executive suite that the word “aggressive” is only the tip of the iceberg:

Henning Kagermann, co-CEO stated:

“When you come to challenging times, you have to take risks. Business ByDesign is not just about product, we also want to focus on profitability, and in the volume business you have to do a lot of innovation to make the business profitable”

Jim Snabe, head of SAP's business solutions and technology, stated further:


“You can look at it from two angles. One is how to convert money into ideas; the other is how to convert ideas into money”


In addition to the predicted new innovation of this SaaS offering which includes CRM, SAP will integrate its Business Intelligence (“BI”) technology into the business suite as a direct result of its purchase of Business Objects last year.  This will bring the analytics portion into the new offering.  Customers will be able to analyze their historical projections as well as future projections.


So when should we expect this new business suite to be rolled out.  SAP says to look for it by next year.  Just exactly when next year isn’t quite clear.


In related SAP news:  In a move to emphasize its focus on profitability and a bid to match the pricing of Oracle, its chief competitor, SAP customers are none-too-happy with the recent price increase for its enhanced maintenance “Enterprise Support”.  For the full story see SAP CEO Defends Price Hikes as Customers Gripe - In its drive to become more profitable, has the enterprise software vendor stirred up a hornet's nest?  Kagermann defended his company’s actions by stating:


"We're offering a new service which is much larger than before, has a certain value and a certain price. The cost for us is higher, and so we believe it's a fair price."

SAP Sapphire 2008

As many of you may know already May 4th to 7th was Sapphire 2008. This year it was held in Orlando, Florida. What is Sapphire? Well, it is SAP’s annual international customer conference. It is the place where the enterprise’s decision makers come to see the latest business solutions that SAP has to offer. There are a plethora of announcements and it is difficult to keep all the facts and details straight in one’s mind. I have listed below what I found to be a few of the more noteworthy announcements with a brief summary and if any of these are of interest follow the links for more details.


First on the list was the pre-conference announcement. My guess is that this was sort of a primer for things to come. The “mobile workforce”, many of whom are users of the ever popular hand-held device from Research in Motion (“RIM”) known as the Blackberry, may be interested to know that they will have access SAP’s CRM functionality in the coming months. The plans are to eventually integrate the rest of SAP’s functionality into the handheld device. As a Blackberry user myself, I think the implications of this could be enormous. Just the mere fact of being able to send and receive my emails wherever I happen to be is a huge advantage to me. SAP and RIM are talking about a mobile workforce now with access to all parts of the enterprise including order applications and inventory management. A more detailed description can be found in the Internews.com article SAP Is Wooing the BlackBerry CRM Crowd.


The next announcement I found to be of interest was that Rimini Street, the low-cost third-party provider of support, will be providing support for the SAP R/3 ERP suite. The concerns about SAP pulling support for its older versions was alleviated a bit when Rimini Street pledged to continue supporting the older versions without any upgrades until the year 2020. The cost savings for the R/3 user base could be significant. SAP had recently announced that it would raise its maintenance fees from 17% to 22% to keep up with the industry standard, particularly Oracle. Now with the availability of support from Rimini Street, CEO Seth Ravin, boosts, “Most of our customers are saving on average 70 percent against overall maintenance costs and at least 50 percent on their annual maintenance bill. We cut customers' costs in half and still make a very hefty profit." Ravin’s approach is that R/3 users don’t want to move to the next platform since “they spent years and a ton of money to get it working right and,…there's nothing that justifies the cost of upgrade, disruption and opportunity cost…” To read more see Rimini Street Adds SAP, Passes on TomorrowNow.


Following the Rimini support announcement, SAP made another announcement concerning its own Enterprise Support. This new approach to support from SAP will be more of a holistic approach and not the usual patches sent to fix bugs in the software. SAP will be supporting SAP solutions as well as non-SAP solutions and focus its attention on SOA. To learn more about the components of this Enterprise Support offering from SAP read SAP Beef’s Up Enterprise Support. This article also contains Oracle’s perspective on SAP’s offering and how it competes with SAP.


The last announcement coming out of Sapphire 2008 that I will discuss are the two add-ons that will assist in the design and execution of new business processes without the need for new code development, SAP NetWeaver Business Process Management (BPM) and SAP NetWeaver Business Rules Management. With close to 39,000 NetWeaver deployments, these new add-ons continue to emphasize SAP’s push into SOA. SAP's NetWeaver BPM will provide the ability to implement and manage complex business processes. In essence it simplifies the implementation of an SOA environment. As stated in SAP Add-Ons Aim to Simplify BPM for NewWeaver, “NetWeaver BPM's unified modeling capabilities mean that a single version of a business process will be available throughout an enterprise, and its users will be able to edit it and make changes without losing details in translation.”


The above discussion is only a sample of the announcements that came out of Sapphire 2008.

SAP Touts New BI Software

SAP unveiled nine new software packages that allow the monitoring and response to business information from any format or application. Three of the nine new offerings are targeted to the SMB market space. This all stems from SAP’s purchase of Business Objects (see post 12/21/07 in this Blog SAP Merges with Business Objects). SAP’s CEO, Henning Kagermann, stated:

Our key competitive differentiator is that we're building a portfolio on the most open platform. We are the only one that can offer business performance optimization in a closed loop.  At the end of the day, you have to take immediate action. Our business suite and business intelligence close the loop. You have faster and better insights and you can transform it immediately into actions.

Is this rollout all in response to the current activity now taking place in the industry? As I alluded to in my post of 1/9/08 What’s Next for ERP in 2008, Larry Ellison has not and will not sit on the sidelines as these mergers and new products are rolled out to the customer base. Just this week Reuter’s reports that Oracle has finally succeeded in its bid for BEA.

Kagermann addressed the issue of growth and competition in the industry stating:

You never in life should exclude an opportunity in business. The question is where is your priority.  Growing through organic growth is No. 1 for SAP.  If there's a unique opportunity to expand our opportunities, we will do it.  These are things you can't plan ahead and sometimes you have the opportunity and must take advantage of it.

SAP plans to integrate functionality from Business Objects into its Saas offering, Business ByDesign. SAP’s 2007 operating margins were down by .8% due mainly to its approximate half a billion dollar investment in getting Business ByDesign to market.

To read the full article click here

What's Next for ERP in 2008

As customers demand more from Web 2.0 applications and software vendors scramble to meet these demands, we should expect to see more mergers.  The assembling of such technologies as “instant messaging, Web conferencing, email, desk phone, mobile phone, blogs, and RSS feeds” has proven to be an overwhelming task.  A way to provide such technologies without losing some of the functionality which makes these technologies so appealing is to merge or purchase smaller niche companies that have the new emerging technologies already in hand.  Larry Barrett in his article in InternetNews.com reports on the most likely scenarios to come in 2008.  The companies to watch will be those with established expertise in data management, business intelligence and analytics and security.  The candidates include Informatica and i2 Technologies.  Regarding this anticipated consolidation, Barrett cites HP’s CEO Mark Hurd:

“I think you'll see continued industry consolidation and see more and more vertical integration.  It could accelerate in the next year or two if the right alignment of players were to occur ... I think potential M&A opportunities will rise to the top.”

And what about the big players in the ERP arena?  Is a purchase of SAP a possibility?  SAP’s co-founder and chief of its supervisory board left the door open a bit when he responded to such an occurrence by the likes of IBM, Microsoft, or Google stating, “If shareholders think that a combination, and not independence, is better, then it will happen.”  Barrett points out some of the key factors involved in any proposed merger with the world’s largest business applications vendor: 

  • SAP’s market cap is $63 billion.  Microsoft would be an expected suitor.  It has the money.  The antitrust issues would require Herculean efforts and thus make such a combination unlikely.

  • Google could afford it, but the corporate cultures are so divergent that this is a limiting factor.

  • IBM seems to be the one.

Barrett cites Peter Goldmacher, an analyst with Cowen & Co.

“As big as SAP is, they're becoming a niche vendor and I think Oracle is hurting them and hurting IBM.  Both of these guys need each other.  And there's not a better fit. You'd have the No. 1 applications company and No. 2 database company competing against Oracle, which is No. 2 in applications and No. 1 in database.”

Does anyone really think that Oracle’s Larry Ellison will just sit idle and watch this all happen?  To read an interesting article and get a sneak peek at what other types of companies have caught the eye of Venture Capitalists as well as the large enterprise software companies check out Larry Barrett’s article in InternetNews.com.